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Richemont chairman Johann Rupert to take 'grey gap... Billionaire 62-year-old to take 12 months off from Cartier and Montblanc luxury goods groupRichemont's chairman and founder Johann Rupert is to take a year off from September, leaving management of the...

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Spate of recent shock departures by 50-something CEOs While the rising financial rewards of running a modern multinational have been well publicised, executive recruiters say the pressures of the job have also been ratcheted upOn approaching his 60th birthday...

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Stocks: Economy data could set tone

Category : Stocks

Investors have a lot to chew on Thursday as new data is released for inflation, housing, jobless claims and consumer sentiment.

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TAG Oil Ltd. (TAOIF: OTCQX International) | TAG Oil’s Ngapaeruru-1 Well Intersects Oil and Gas Shows in Source Rock

Category : Stocks

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TAG Oil’s Ngapaeruru-1 Well Intersects Oil and Gas Shows in Source Rock

PR Newswire

VANCOUVER, May 14, 2013

VANCOUVER, May 14, 2013 /PRNewswire/ – TAG Oil Ltd. (TSX: TAO) and (OTCQX:
TAOIF), reports that TAG’s 100%-controlled Ngapaeruru-1 exploration
well has reached a total depth of 1417 meters after successfully
drilling through the Waipawa and Whangai source rock formations, the
main objective of the well.

Excellent mud gas shows – which indicate the presence of gas zones or
soluble gas in oil – were recorded between the intervals of 1140 -
1295m (155m gross hydrocarbon column). Preliminary gas ratio analysis
interprets a predominantly wet gas / oil signature. All data has now
been forwarded to independent laboratories for expert analysis.

In addition, TAG Oil cut and recovered sidewall cores over 14 separate
intervals within the 155 meters of potential unconventional oil and gas
pay, sampled total organic content (TOC) and acquired in-situ gas analysis at depth. Detailed petrophysical evaluation is now
underway with a full suite of unconventional logs to ascertain source
rock quality, fracture identification, geochemistry, and rock moduli
data. This data is critical to determining the most suitable completion
method and production testing of the Ngapaeruru-1 well, as well as to
better understanding the long term feasibility of TAG’s East Coast
Basin opportunity.

“Our team did an excellent job drilling this first ever unconventional
target in the East Coast Basin,” commented Drew Cadenhead, TAG’s Chief
Operating Officer. “Diligence and communication made certain that the
occasionally tricky drilling conditions in this Basin were handled as
planned: safely, efficiently, and with no environmental incidents. The
fact that early mud-log analysis has returned wet gas and oil
indications is both encouraging and very exciting. We’re looking
forward to more detailed results once analysis of the data acquired
from the Ngapaeruru-1 well is complete.”

Ngapaeruru-1 is located in TAG’s 100%-controlled Petroleum Exploration
Permit 38349 in the East Coast Basin of New Zealand. The Ngapaeruru-1
well represents New Zealand’s first test directly targeting the
naturally fractured Waipawa and Whangai formation source rocks which is
believed to contain a significant oil and gas resource.

For further information on the Ngapaeruru-1 exploration well and TAG
Oil’s unconventional prospects please visit:

TAG Oil Ltd.

TAG Oil Ltd. ( is a Canadian-based production and exploration company with operations
focused exclusively in New Zealand. With 100% ownership over all its
core assets, including extensive oil and gas production infrastructure,
TAG is enjoying substantial oil and gas production and reserve growth
through development of several light oil and gas discoveries. TAG is
also actively drilling high-impact exploration prospects identified
across more than 2,984,171 net acres of land in New Zealand.

In the East Coast Basin, TAG is exploring the major unconventional
resource potential believed to exist in the source-rock formations that
are widespread over the Company’s acreage. These oil-rich and naturally
fractured formations have many similarities to North America’s Bakken
source-rock formation in the successful Williston Basin.

Cautionary Note Regarding Forward-Looking Statements:

Statements contained in this news release that are not historical facts
are forward-looking statements that involve various risks and
uncertainty affecting the business of TAG. Such statements can be
generally, but not always, identified by words such as “expects”,
“plans”, “anticipates”, “intends”, “estimates”, “forecasts”,
“schedules”, “prepares”, “potential” and similar expressions, or that
events or conditions “will”, “would”, “may”, “could” or “should” occur.
All estimates and statements that describe the Company’s objectives,
mudlog gas readings, oil indicators, drilling, goals and or future
plans with respect to the drilling in the East Coast Basin
forward-looking statements under applicable securities laws and
necessarily involve risks and uncertainties including, without
limitation: risks associated with oil and gas exploration, development,
exploitation and production, geological risks, marketing and
transportation, the risk associated with estimating undiscovered
original initially-in-place, availability of adequate funding,
volatility of commodity prices, environmental risks, competition from
others, and changes in the regulatory and taxation environment. Actual
results may vary materially from the information provided in this
release, and there is no representation by TAG Oil that the actual
results realized in the future will be the same in whole or in part as
those presented herein.

Other factors that could cause actual results to differ from those
contained in the forward-looking statements are also set forth in
filings that TAG and its independent evaluator have made, including
TAG’s most recently filed reports in Canada under National Instrument
51-101, which can be found under TAG’s SEDAR profile at

TAG undertakes no obligation, except as otherwise required by law, to
update these forward-looking statements in the event that management’s
beliefs, estimates or opinions, or other factors change.


See the article here: TAG Oil Ltd. (TAOIF: OTCQX International) | TAG Oil’s Ngapaeruru-1 Well Intersects Oil and Gas Shows in Source Rock

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Bloomberg still has plenty of fans on Wall Street

Category : Stocks

The news that Bloomberg reporters were permitted to see how clients used the company’s financial data terminals raises concerns about privacy.

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Will the stock market momentum continue?

Category : Business

After fresh records last week, investors will have slew of data on on the housing market, manufacturing sector and the consumer.

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Data suggests UK avoided double-dip

Category : Business

A revision by the Office for National Statistics to construction industry data has cast doubt on whether the UK entered a double-dip recession last year.

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Amazon: The ultimate good-faith stock

Category : Stocks

Few stocks involve more guessing than AMZN. The company is tightfisted when it comes to disclosing data or metrics.

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‘Record share’ for buy-to-let deals

Category : Business

The buy-to-let sector now accounts for a record portion of total mortgage loans, according to lenders’ data.

Originally posted here: ‘Record share’ for buy-to-let deals

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Dow tops 15,000 as world shares gain

Category : Business

The Dow Jones index closes above 15,000 for the first time as strong German factory data pushes US and European share markets higher.

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How good is ADP at forecasting the monthly BLS jobs reports? | Harry J Enten

Category : Business

With official jobs data seen as a key economic metric, no wonder other agencies second-guess them. But ‘guess’ is about right

The government reported 165,000 new jobs created according April’s nonfarm payroll numbers (176,000 in total in the private sector) – a pleasant surprise to most economists, who were anticipating fewer. Part of the reason that expectations were off was because the Automatic Data Processing (ADP) jobs report predicted that only 119,000 would be created, an apparent error of 57,000. Why is this discrepancy a big deal?

Jobs reports used to be exciting only for economists and stockbrokers, but since the election season, every political junkie and their dog seems to have taken an interest. People recognize that the economy plays a vital role in deciding votes; these reports, therefore, offer a vital clue to predicting the politicians’ election chances. So, now we have both the economic and political class yearning for 8.30am on the first Friday of the month, all to learn about the jobs numbers.

But as in so many arenas in America, people can’t wait to see what happens. They race to get the answer as quickly as they can, picking up on whatever clues they deem fit. Enter the ADP jobs report, a jobs survey released two days before the official Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) government report. Many use the ADP to predict the BLS, but past ADP surveys have sometimes been far off actual BLS results. As Steven Russolillo noted in September, “some months, it’s spot on; others it’s wildly off base.”

The ADP, hoping to make its data more accurate, made some major changes for its October 2012 report. That month, the ADP started using ADP payroll data, BLS employment data, and the Philadelphia Federal Reserve’s Aruoba-Diebold-Scott Business Conditions Index. As a result, ADP surveyed 62,000 more clients than previously, 2 million more employees, and two more company-size classes and industries. They brought on Moody’s Analytics to replace Macroeconomic Advisers for processing data. To put it mildly, these are not small changes.

Have the adjustments brought ADP any closer to solving the monthly jobs mystery?

To answer this question, I’ve compared ADP forecasts of the past seven months with the same seven-month period last year, and looked at the ADP’s accuracy in predicting final BLS numbers. The BLS produces an initial, second, and final report as it calculates more data, and the data between reports can differ greatly. The ADP wants to land as close as possible to the BLS’s final report, though most attention is usually paid to the initial report.

The past seven months have seen an average difference between the ADP and initial BLS report of 42,286 jobs. (You can see all the data here.) Some months, such as October and November 2012, had errors of under 30,000 jobs, while March and April 2013 saw errors of 57,000 or greater. No month had an initial error of less than 26,000; the error in margin ends up within +/-19,000 of 45,000.

Compared to the same time last year, the average error has, in fact, diminished. Last year, ADP was off by an average error of 55,429 jobs, which is 13,143 jobs greater than their more recent average. This difference, however, is not statistically significant, due to a small sample size (seven observations) and the fact that the old ADP results could sometimes be very accurate.

Last year, three months under the old methods had errors of 17,000 or less, compared to the initial BLS report – far more accurate than any month per the new ADP. The problem for the old ADP was that four months last year had errors of 66,000 or greater, which less accurate than all seven months of the new ADP.

In that light, the new ADP does look better than the old. When it comes to their forecasts and the initial jobs report, we still haven’t seen an error so wrong it makes your eyes pop out. Of course, we haven’t seen stunning accuracy either.

The BLS’s final jobs report, however – what ADP should supposedly be best at predicting – apparently confounds ADP. We see zero consistency in their results. Four out of six final reports (or second report for March 2013, since we don’t have the final one yet) have had errors of 28,000 or less. Two final reports, December 2012 and March 2013, have been within 4,000. November 2012 and February 2013, though, have seen errors of over 120,000 jobs! The old ADP, by comparison, had its biggest miss last year, in January 2012, at 107,000 jobs.

The average error of the new ADP on final BLS reports has been 51,167 jobs, which is actually worse than the ADP’s error on initial BLS reports. It’s better than the average error of 58,333 from last year, but it’s not better by a statistically significant amount.

When you put it all together, I can’t really say that ADP has done better with its new methodology than it did with its old. There are some signs that the changes have made it more accurate – perhaps those huge misses of November 2012 and February 2013 will turn out to be anomalies – but we’ll need a larger sample size to know for sure. But at this point, it looks as likely as ever that the ADP numbers will be way off-the-mark measured against the BLS’s final reports.

The smart bet right now? Have a little patience and wait for the actual government statistics.

UK services sector growth speeds up

Category : Business, World News

The UK’s services sector, which accounts for around 75% of the economy, grew by its fastest rate in eight months in April, new data suggest.

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